The Brief
October 3, 2026  ·  5 min read
The story
The tax rule behind the counter

Since April, cannabis sold under a state medical licence is ordinary business for tax. The same plant sold under a recreational licence is not, and on September 29 a DEA judge froze the case that would change that.

A licensed indoor cannabis flower room: two tiers of plants on yellow steel racking under purple and white grow lights, with fans and irrigation lines running along the shelves.

Section 280E of the tax code is one sentence long. A business that traffics in a drug on Schedule I or II of the Controlled Substances Act may take no deduction or credit for what it spends running the business. It can still subtract what the product itself cost. It cannot subtract rent, payroll or marketing. For a licensed recreational dispensary, that means paying federal tax on a figure far closer to its gross margin than to its profit.

The rule was not written with dispensaries in mind. In 1981 the Tax Court let a man who sold amphetamines, cocaine and marijuana deduct his rent, his telephone and his car as ordinary business expenses. Congress enacted 280E the next year, and the Senate Finance Committee's report says it did so in direct response to that case. Forty-four years later, the dealer is long gone and the rule applies to every legal recreational seller in the country.

Where it landed

On April 23 the Justice Department moved two categories of marijuana to Schedule III: FDA-approved products, and marijuana sold under a state medical licence. Its order says those licensees will no longer be subject to the deduction disallowance in 280E. Everything else, including recreational marijuana, stays in Schedule I. The same order opened a separate hearing on moving the rest.

That hearing ran from June 29 to July 15. Post-hearing briefs were filed in August, and the next step was the judge's recommendation. On September 28, three parties that oppose rescheduling asked him to add a new government audit to the record first. The next day he stayed the case while he decides whether to allow it. On September 30, the cannabis stock fund MSOS closed about 11 percent lower.

MSOS, Sept 30
day after the order
-11.2%
5.09 to 4.52
MSOS, Oct 2
latest close
4.47
not all from the order
Medical licences
order of April 23
Schedule III
out of 280E
Everything else
incl. recreational
Schedule I
still under 280E
Reply due
government answer
Oct 13
stay has no end date
MSOS is the AdvisorShares Pure US Cannabis ETF; daily exchange closes. Schedule placement from the Justice Department's order of April 23, 2026. Deadline from the DEA Chief Administrative Law Judge's order of September 29, 2026.
The mechanism
One plant, two tax treatments

The April split created a problem that did not exist before. A business that holds both a medical and a recreational licence, and many do, now runs one activity that can deduct ordinary expenses and another that cannot. Practitioners describe operators that share a dispensary floor, a back office, a POS system, and a payroll provider across both. The IRS has not issued guidance on how those shared costs should be divided, and one accounting firm expects the IRS to argue that a business running both is a single trade, with no basis to split its costs at all.

What the audit found, both halves

The report the opponents want added is GAO-26-108623, published September 23. It found that the DEA does not have policies that identify roles, responsibilities, and procedures related to scheduling, and that the FDA has no policies or procedures for how its staff conduct evaluations. It also found that in all 84 cases from its 2020 to 2025 actions where the DEA had published a final rule by the end of 2025, its decision matched the health agency's recommendation. The report examines how the agencies work. It does not say where marijuana belongs.

What the stay does, and does not, decide

The order pauses the wait for a recommendation. It does not decide whether the report goes into the record, whether there will be more briefing, or whether marijuana moves to Schedule III. The government must answer the motion by October 13, and other parties may answer by the same date. The stay itself has no end date.

The day after the order. AdvisorShares Pure US Cannabis ETF (MSOS), daily closing price, dollars. Daily exchange closing prices for MSOS. The stay order is dated September 29, 2026; the one-day fall from $5.09 to $4.52 is 11.2 percent. Later moves are not attributed to the order alone.
What they are saying

The four statements below come from the parties to the case and the agencies whose work it rests on. Read the second and third together: the opponents cite the audit's finding on missing procedures, and the same audit records that the DEA's decisions matched the health agency every time it looked.

What they are saying. The DEA's chief administrative law judge stayed the case while he decides whether to add a GAO report to the record. Three opposing parties asked for that. GAO found gaps in the DEA's written scheduling procedures but also that its decisions matched the health agency in all 84 cases with a final rule. The Justice Department says medical licensees are out of 280E.
What to watch
From October 3
Instrument:DEA Docket No. 1362, the proposed rescheduling of marijuana: the government's response to the motion
Date:October 13, the deadline for the government and any other party to respond
Meaning:if the judge keeps the audit out, the case returns to his recommendation; if he lets it in, more briefing comes first and recreational sellers stay under 280E meanwhile
After that:the judge's recommendation, then a final rule; neither has a date
Also open:IRS guidance on splitting costs for businesses that hold both licences
Dates from the DEA Chief Administrative Law Judge's order of September 29, 2026. General research, not a recommendation.
What we make of it

Three things. First, the split is the story more than the freeze. Since April, whether a sale is ordinary business or drug trafficking for tax depends on the licence it is made under, not on the plant. That is a hard line to keep inside one building, and until the IRS says how to draw it, every business that holds both licences carries an allocation question it cannot fully answer.

Second, the freeze is procedural, and procedure is slow. The motion asks for a record to be reopened and for more briefing. Neither step decides the outcome, but each adds weeks before the recommendation the industry had expected, and the recommendation is not the final rule. A reader should expect the next several headlines to be about filings, not about a decision.

Third, the cost of waiting falls in one place. Medical sellers have their deductions. Recreational sellers pay 280E for every quarter the case does not move, and that cost lands on profit, not on revenue, which is how a procedural pause can matter to companies whose sales did not change at all.

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RollOutInvestor
RollOutInvestor, Calgary, Alberta, Canada
General research, published to every reader on the same schedule. Not personal advice and not a recommendation to buy or sell any security.